Thursday, November 29, 2018

2018 NFL Week 13: Picks

Here are my picks for week thirteen of the 2018 NFL season.

Thursday, November 29th
New Orleans Saints (10-1) vs Dallas Cowboys (6-5)- 8:20, FOX/NFLN: This is a pretty fun game between the leagues best team in the Saints and one of the surprise division leaders in the Cowboys. The Saints are coming off a Thanksgiving Night divisional home win over the Atlanta Falcons. The Cowboys are coming off a Thanksgiving Day divisional home win over the Washington Redskins. This is a big test for both of these teams defenses since the Cowboys haven't seen an offense this good perhaps all season and the Saints are on the road against an improved Cowboys offense with the addition of Amari Cooper. That said, it's had to pick against the Saints right now and I think they'll win a shootout in Jerry World.
Prediction: New Orleans 38, Dallas 34.

Sunday, December 2nd
Baltimore Ravens (6-5) at Atlanta Falcons (4-7)- 1:00, CBS: The Ravens are coming off a home win over the Oakland Raiders. The Falcons are coming off a Thanksgiving Night divisional road loss in New Orleans against the Saints. This feels like a trap game for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, who really has not been that impressive. The Falcons offense comes alive against a suddenly vulnerable Ravens defense.
Prediction: Atlanta 27, Baltimore 20.

Denver Broncos (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-6)- 1:00, CBS: The Broncos are coming off a huge home win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bengals are coming off a dismal divisional home loss against the Cleveland Browns and Andy Dalton was lost for the season with torn ligaments in his thumb. Jeff Driskel is now the starting quarterback and I don't see how they'll beat a hot Bronco team led by their great pass rush.
Prediction: Denver 30, Cincinnati 16.

Los Angeles Rams (10-1) at Detroit Lions (4-7)- 1:00, FOX: The Rams are coming off their bye and two weeks ago they won at home over the Kansas City Chiefs on a Monday night. The Lions are coming off a Thanksgiving Day divisional home loss against the Chicago Bears. The Lions seem like a team that's thrown in the towel and the Rams are a team looking to get home field advantage.
Prediction: LA Rams 37, Detroit 20.

Arizona Cardinals (2-9) at Green Bay Packers (4-6-1)- 1:00, FOX: The Cardinals are coming off a road loss in Los Angeles against the Chargers. The Packers are coming off a Sunday night divisional road loss in Minneapolis against the Vikings. The Packers badly need this game to get themselves right against a bad opponent and I believe they'll get it done and this is my lock of the week.
Prediction: Green Bay 30, Arizona 17.

Buffalo Bills (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (5-6)- 1:00, CBS: The Bills are coming off a home win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Dolphins are coming off a road loss in Indianapolis against the Colts. This is truly an awful game and I think the Dolphins will win a low scoring game at home.
Prediction: Miami 17, Buffalo 13.

Chicago Bears (8-3) at New York Giants (3-8)- 1:00, FOX: The Bears are coming off a Thanksgiving day divisional road win in Detroit against the Lions. The Giants are coming off a brutal divisional road loss in Philadelphia against the Eagles in which they had a 16-point lead in. The Bears defense is poised to have the critics saying that Eli Manning should hang it up after the season and they should win this game easily regardless who's starting at quarterback.
Prediction: Chicago 26, NY Giants 13.

Carolina Panthers (6-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7)- 1:00, FOX: The Panthers are coming off a brutal home loss against the Seattle Seahawks. The Buccaneers are coming off a home win over the lowly San Francisco 49ers. The Bucs offense has looked good the last few weeks but against bad defenses and the Panthers defense isn't that bad so I like Cam Newton and the Panthers to get the big win to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Prediction: Carolina 30, Tampa Bay 20.

Indianapolis Colts (6-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8)- 1:00, CBS: The Colts are coming off a home win over the Miami Dolphins. The Jags are coming off a road loss in Orchard Park against the Bills. Cody Kessler is starting at quarterback over the benched Blake Bortles now and I don't see how it gets better for the Jags as the Colts have been hot and will win their sixth in a row.
Prediction: Indianapolis 34, Jacksonville 16.

Cleveland Browns (4-6-1) at Houston Texans (8-3)- 1:00, CBS: The Browns are coming off a divisional road win in Cincinnati against the Bengals. The Texans are coming off a big Monday Night divisional home win over the Tennessee Titans. The Texans have been hot of late and I like them to win their ninth in a row and their pass rush to slow down Baker Mayfield and the Browns offense.
Prediction: Houston 30, Cleveland 23.

New York Jets (3-8) at Tennessee Titans (5-6)- 4:05, CBS: The Jets are coming off a divisional home loss against the New England Patriots. The Titans are coming off a bad Monday Night divisional road loss in Houston against the Texans. The Jets are probably starting Josh McCown again this week and I can see Marcus Mariota putting up good stats against a bad defense and leading the Titans back to .500.
Prediction: Tennessee 27, NY Jets 16.

Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) at Oakland Raiders (2-9)- 4:05, CBS: The Chiefs are coming off a bye and two weeks ago they lost a tough one in Los Angeles against the Rams. The Raiders are coming off a road loss in Baltimore against the Ravens. This feels like a lopsided Chiefs win to me led by Patrick Mahomes and that offense.
Prediction: Kansas City 42, Oakland 20.

Minnesota Vikings (6-4-1) at New England Patriots (8-3)- 4:25, FOX: The Vikings are coming off a big time Sunday night divisional home win against the Green Bay Packers. The Patriots are coming off a divisional road win in East Rutherford against the New York Jets. This is going to be an intriguing game by all aspects and I think this is a feel good win for Bill Belichick and Company at home in a super close one.
Prediction: New England 27, Minnesota 24.

San Francisco 49ers (2-9) at Seattle Seahawks (6-5)- 4:25, FOX: The 49ers are coming off a road loss in Tampa Bay against the Buccaneers. The Seahawks are coming off a big time road win over the Carolina Panthers. The Seahawks are playing great football and need this game and Russell Wilson is playing like an MVP candidate.
Prediction: Seattle 33, San Francisco 16.

Los Angeles Chargers (8-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-1)- 8:20, NBC: The Chargers are coming off a much needed home win over the Arizona Cardinals. The Steelers are coming off a brutal road loss in Denver against the Broncos. The Steelers are poised for a big time performance at home in primetime and I think that will be the case here.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 38, LA Chargers 27.

Monday, December 3rd

Washington Redskins (6-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6)- 8:15, ESPN: This feels like a loser leaves town match. The Redskins are coming off a Thanksgiving Day divisional road loss in Arlington against the Cowboys. The Eagles are coming off a huge and much needed come from behind divisional home win over the New York Giants. Colt McCoy wasn't terrible in that Cowboys game last week, but I don't trust him outdoors and in the cold on a Monday night as the Eagles get back to .500.
Prediction: Philadelphia 27, Washington 17.

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