Here are my picks for week four of the 2018 NFL season.
Thursday, September 27th
Minnesota Vikings (1-1-1) vs Los Angeles Rams (3-0)- 8:25, FOX/NFLN: This game should be a dandy between two of the contenders in the NFC. The Vikings are coming off an awful home loss against the lowly Buffalo Bills. The Rams are coming off a big home win over the Los Angeles Chargers. It's undetermined whether Dalvin Cook goes for the Vikings or not and the Everson Griffen situation is really troubling. What also is troubling is that Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters are both out for the Rams for a month so the Rams defense is now vulnerable. That said, I like the Rams in this one at home.
Prediction: LA Rams 30, Minnesota 20.
Sunday, September 30th
Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)- 1:00, CBS: The Bengals are coming off a tough loss in Charlotte against the Panthers. The Falcons are coming off a tough overtime divisional home loss against the New Orleans Saints. The Falcons have injuries everywhere on defense and I like Andy Dalton and AJ Green (if he plays) to take advantage although Joe Mixon may not play this week.
Prediction: Cincinnati 30, Atlanta 26.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) at Chicago Bears (2-1)- 1:00, FOX: The Bucs are coming off a disappointing Monday night home loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bears are coming off a narrow road win in Glendale against the Cardinals to avoid the trap. Ryan Fitzpatrick should be starting again, but I like the Bears here at home.
Prediction: Chicago 24, Tampa Bay 17.
Detroit Lions (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (1-2)- 1:00, FOX: The Lions are coming off a big time Sunday night home win over the New England Patriots. The Cowboys are coming off a bad road loss in Seattle against the Seahawks. This game has potential to be ugly and the Cowboys usually play better at home than on the road so give me Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys at home.
Prediction: Dallas 22, Detroit 16.
Buffalo Bills (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1-1)- 1:00, CBS: The Bills are coming off a monstrous upset road win in Minneapolis against the Vikings. The Packers are coming off a disappointing road loss in Landover against the Redskins. Aaron Rodgers doesn't look right although he's playing thru whatever is wrong with him, but I see a big letdown here for the Bills after the big win last week.
Prediction: Green Bay 27, Buffalo 16.
Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) at Tennessee Titans (2-1)- 1:00, FOX: The Eagles are coming off a home win over the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans are coming off a divisional road win in Jacksonville against the Jaguars. Marcus Mariota is starting this week and this is Carson Wentz's second game back. I like the Eagles to get the road win here.
Prediction: Philadelphia 20, Tennessee 13.
Houston Texans (0-3) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2)- 1:00, CBS: The Texans are coming off a bad home loss against the New York Giants. The Colts are coming off a tough road loss in Philadelphia against the Eagles. The Texans are very desperate and head coach Bill O'Brien is under pressure to win this game or else he could be jobless. Andrew Luck isn't right and I like the Texans to get their first win.
Prediction: Houston 20, Indianapolis 16.
Miami Dolphins (3-0) at New England Patriots (1-2)- 1:00, CBS: The Dolphins are coming off a home win over the Oakland Raiders. The Pats are coming off a disastrous road loss in Detroit against the Lions and former defensive coordinator Matt Patricia. This is going to be a classic Patriots win when people doubt them after a bad loss and hand the Dolphins their first loss this year.
Prediction: New England 27, Miami 16.
New York Jets (1-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1)- 1:00, FOX: The Jets are coming off a tough Thursday night road loss in Cleveland against the Browns. The Jags are coming off a bad divisional home loss against the Tennessee Titans. I like the Jags and that offense to bounce back here especially if Leonard Fournette is back.
Prediction: Jacksonville 26, NY Jets 16
Cleveland Browns (1-1-1) at Oakland Raiders (0-3)- 4:05, FOX: The Browns are coming off their first win in twenty-one months at home in primetime over the New York Jets. The Raiders are coming off a road loss in Miami against the Dolphins. Baker Mayfield was awesome last week in relief of the concussed Tyrod Taylor and I expect him to play well again, but this screams "letdown" for the Browns and I like Jon Gruden to get his first win in his second stint with the Raiders.
Prediction: Oakland 23, Cleveland 20.
Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Arizona Cardinals (0-3)- 4:05, FOX: The Seahawks are coming off a much needed home win over the Dallas Cowboys. The Cards are coming off a heartbreaking home loss against the Chicago Bears. Josh Rosen will start now and he came in the final drive of the game and threw a pick last week and I like Rosen to lead the Cards to their first win.
Prediction: Arizona 20, Seattle 17.
New Orleans Saints (2-1) at New York Giants (1-2)- 4:25, CBS: The Saints are coming off an overtime divisional road win in Atlanta against the Falcons. The Giants are coming off a big road win in Houston against the Texans. The Saints defense has regressed so far this season and I like Odell Beckham Jr and Saquon Barkley to shred that defense and give the Giants another win.
Prediction: NY Giants 30, New Orleans 27.
San Francisco 49ers (1-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-2)- 4:25, CBS: The 49ers are coming off an awful loss in Kansas City against the Chiefs in which Jimmy Garappolo tore his ACL in. The Chargers are coming off a road loss in Los Angeles against the Rams. The Chargers are one of the best two 1-2 teams in the league and with CJ Bethard starting for the Niners, this is a lock.
Prediction: LA Chargers 37, San Francisco 13.
Baltimore Ravens (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-1)- 8:20, NBC: The Ravens are coming off a big home win over the Denver Broncos. The Steelers are coming off a much needed Monday night road win in Tampa against the Buccaneers. These two teams always play close games and I like the Steelers here at home and despite the Le'Veon Bell situation, the offense has been good.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Baltimore 20.
Monday October 1st
Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Denver Broncos (2-1)- 8:15, ESPN: Probably the most fascinating game on this weeks slate. The Chiefs are coming off big home win over the San Francisco 49ers. The Broncos are coming off a road loss in Baltimore against the Ravens. Patrick Mahomes has been awesome, but he's never played in an atmosphere like Denver let alone a primetime game. Upset special, Broncos win it.
Prediction: Denver 27, Kansas City 24.
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