Here are my grades for the first round picks of the 2016 NBA Draft.
1. Philadelphia 76ers- Ben Simmons, Power Forward, LSU: Simmons projects to be a cornerstone player and the Sixers did no wrong in selecting Simmons. Philly is finally heading in the right direction after being the leagues worst team the last three seasons.
Grade: A
2. Los Angeles Lakers- Brandon Ingram, Small Forward, Duke: Ingram also projects to be a cornerstone player for years to come. The Lakers should be pleased with their pick.
Grade: A
3. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)- Jaylen Brown, Small Forward, California: Boston seemed poised to move this pick for an established star, but it never happened. I would have gone with Kris Dunn here but the Celtics took Brown, who I felt they reached for here.
Grade: B-
4. Phoenix Suns- Dragan Bender, Power Forward/Center, Croatia: No, Bender is not the next Kristaps Porzingis, but he is worth taking here fourth. He would fit nicely with the Suns.
Grade: B+
5. Minnesota Timberwolves- Kris Dunn, Point Guard, Providence: Dunn fell into the lap of Tom Thibodeau and Thibs must be very happy, although reports out there suggested that he tried to use this pick to pry away Jimmy Butler from Chicago. Either way, great pick by the Wolves.
Grade: A
6. New Orleans Pelicans- Buddy Hield, Shooting Guard, Oklahoma: With Eric Gordon heading for free agency, the Pels drafted a position of need. Hield and Anthony Davis together should be fun to watch.
Grade: A-
7. Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)- Jamal Murray, Point Guard/Shooting Guard, Kentucky: Murray is a nice combo guard that would fit nicely with Emmanuel Mudiay in the backcourt. Denver may have got a steal here.
Grade: A
8. Phoenix Suns (via Sacramento Kings)- Marquese Chriss, Power Forward, Washington: Chriss was who the Suns wanted originally and now they have both him Bender. It will be interesting to see if these two play together or not.
Grade: B+
9. Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)- Jakob Poetl, Center, Utah: Not a bad selection for the Raptors, who need to potentially replace Bismack Biyombo this summer. Poetl could also be a starter down the road.
Grade: B
10. Milwaukee Bucks- Thon Maker, Center, Australia: This was definitely a reach for Milwaukee. The Bucks could have traded down to the twenties perhaps to select Maker and gain more assets.
Grade: D+
11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Orlando Magic)- Damontas Sabonis, Power Forward/Center, Gonzaga: What a trade for the Thunder. Sabonis will come off the bench on a team that will be a favorite to win it all assuming Kevin Durant doesn't leave. I don't mind the trade for the Magic, either.
Grade: A-
12. Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)- Taurean Prince, Small Forward, Baylor: I thought Prince at this spot was a bit of a reach, but he may have been gone by the time the Hawks picked again at 21. This was such a Hawks-esq pick because they like young wings that can play both ways.
Grade: B-
13. Sacramento Kings (from Phoenix Suns via Washington Wizards)- Georgios Papigiannis, Center, Greece: This pick was confusing and no one had Papigiannis in the lottery, let alone the first round. The Kings had other options with this pick for sure.
Grade: D-
14. Chicago Bulls- Denzel Valentine, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Michigan State: Most thought Chicago would take a point guard here after the trading of Derrick Rose, but nope they take Valentine, who should turn into a solid NBA player someday.
Grade: B+
15. Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)- Juan Hernangomez, Power Forward, Spain: Here's a draft-and-stash prospect that is intriguing. I like this pick for Denver.
Grade: B
16. Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)- Guerschon Yabusele, Power Forward, France: This was an absolute reach by the Celtics, even though it's a draft-and-stash prospect. Yabusele could have still been there in the second round.
Grade: D
17. Memphis Grizzlies- Wade Baldwin IV, Point Guard, Vanderbilt: This was a fine selection for Memphis, who can lose Mike Conley this summer in free agency. I thought the Bulls would potentially take Baldwin to replace Rose, but he fell to Memphis.
Grade: B
18. Detroit Pistons- Henry Ellenson, Power Forward, Marquette: This was a steal for the Pistons. He'll be a nice piece off the bench for a team that should be a playoff team in the East next season.
Grade: A-
19. Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)- Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Beasley was a nice pick for Denver here. He would provide a nice spark off the bench.
Grade: B+
20. Brooklyn Nets (via Indiana Pacers)- Caris LaVert, Shooting Guard, Michigan: I don't mind this pick for Brooklyn, although there were some better players on the board. LaVert is coming off an injury so there is some concern here.
Grade: C+
21. Atlanta Hawks- D'Andre Bembry, Small Forward, Saint Joseph's: Yet another wing taken by the Hawks and I really like the pick. Stacking up on a position of need perhaps if Kent Bazemore leaves this summer.
Grade: B+
22. Sacramento Kings (via Charlotte Hornets)- Malachi Richardson, Shooting Guard, Syracuse: I like this pick for Sacramento and he could come off the bench and get some minutes. I do think Charlotte might regret trading this pick, though.
Grade: B+
23. Boston Celtics- Ante Zizic, Center, Croatia: The Celtics probably should have taken Zizic at 16 and somebody else here other than Yabusele. But Zizic will be a draft-and-stash prospect that might work out down the road.
Grade: B
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami Heat via Cleveland Cavaliers)- Timothe Luwawu, Shooting Guard, France: The Sixers got a steal here with Luwawu, who probably should have been a lottery pick.
Grade: B+
25. Los Angeles Clippers- Brice Johnson, Power Forward, North Carolina: What a great pick by the Clippers. He'll play valuable minutes for them off the bench and Johnson is NBA ready.
Grade: A
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City Thunder via Cleveland Cavaliers/Denver Nuggets)- Furkan Komoraz, Shooting Guard, Turkey: This was a steal for the Sixers yet again, and both he and Luwawu will improve their perimeter situation big time.
Grade: A-
27. Toronto Raptors- Pascal Siakam, Power Forward, New Mexico State: Siakam was a reach here at 27 and I feel there were better options here for Toronto at this position most notably, Michigan States Deyonta Davis, who would have been an absolute steal.
Grade: C-
28. Sacramento Kings (from Phoenix Suns via Cleveland Cavaliers/Boston Celtics)- Skal Labissiere, Power Forward/Center, Kentucky: Everyone pretty much had Labissiere as a lottery pick. The Kings should have taken Labissiere 13 and a draft-and-stash here. Anyway, this is a steal for Sacramento.
Grade: B+
29. San Antonio Spurs- Dejounte Murray, Point Guard, Washington: There was buzz that Murray could have been a lottery pick but nope, he falls into the lap of Gregg Popovich. Go figure. What a steal and this is so Spurs.
Grade: A
30. Golden State Warriors- Damian Jones, Center, Vanderbilt: This was a good selection for the Dubs, who will likely lose Festus Ezeli this summer. Jones would provide some good bench minutes.
Grade: B+
Saturday, June 25, 2016
Friday, June 24, 2016
2016 NHL Mock Draft: Final Edition
Here is my final edition of my 2016 NHL Mock Draft.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Despite the change just ahead of them, the Coyotes will still get one of the three top-end defensemen available in the draft. Sergachev has good size and tremendous offensive instincts. There's poise in his game that suggests an easy transition to the pros. He also would help the Coyotes address their most glaring need in their system.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): Since they acquired Jimmy Vesey earlier this week, the needs the Sabres might still have up front start to go away. This addresses some of the problems the team still has with its blue line, as Juolevi is considered a quality puck-mover because he, too, is a great skater. Extremely high IQ, big body, all that kind of stuff. The overall Buffalo offense for 2018-19 gets a whole lot scarier.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Clayton Keller, Center, U.S. National Development Team: Keller's not exactly big, but his skill is overwhelming. Between the US Development programs games in the USHL and in other games, he scored 158 points in 94 appearances, which is a whole hell of a lot. It's not like the Canadiens are shy about taking highly skilled, smaller guys (one of the organization's admirable qualities). Plus, Keller is heading to Boston University in the fall, and that place is quickly turning into even more of an NHL factory than it has been historically.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): The Devils, as ever, need offense, and the kid who finished first in the OHL in points per game among U-18s fits the bill. The bloodlines are there, and his obvious skill level immediately tells you plenty about what he can do with the puck. He needs to fill out the body a little more, but basically anyone you're picking at this point of the draft is very unlikely to be in the NHL in the next season or two anyway.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Kieffer Bellows, Wing, U.S. National Development Team: After taking defensemen with their top picks in each of the last two years, the Hurricanes could be looking at a forward at No. 13. One of the best available is Bellows, who put up 50 goals playing alongside Clayton Keller last season at the National Team Development Program. The son of former NHL sniper Brian Bellows, Kieffer has some power elements in his game to go along with his devastating shot.
14. Boston Bruins- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): The buzz is growing around Bean. He was listed as the third best defenseman on Bob McKenzie's final rankings on TSN and is one of the draft's most dynamic offensive defensemen. Boston needs more of what Bean can bring to the roster in the near future.
15. Minnesota Wild- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): The Wild are reportedly going to be busy in the trade market and may be dealing from their stable of younger defensemen. That opens a spot to pick one at No. 15, at which point McAvoy looks like a strong possibility. He's polished and productive.
16. Detroit Red Wings- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
17. Nashville Predators- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Kunin never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): The point total isn't there for this guy — 57 in 54 — but consider this: 41 of those points (almost 3 out of every 4) were goals. This has to be the CHL Cy Young winner by a pretty wide margin. He's a 6-foot-4 power forward who scored 40 damn goals in his draft year. Flyers are lucky to get him here.
19. New York Islanders- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Every scout believes McLeod will be a player. The discord comes when they argue about what type of player he'll be. Some see him as a dependable, two-way forward who makes things happen at both ends of the ice with his skating. Others think he can be a dangerous weapon once his hands catch up to his feet. He'd add size and speed to an organization that is loaded on the back end and needs some talent up front.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Big, strong, aggressive, borderline dirty ... this kid was born to wear black and orange. Jones projects as a middle-six power forward who can rev up the team with his motor or a big hit. Plays a hard north-south game and has better offensive tools than he gets credit for.
21. Carolina Hurricanes (via Los Angeles Kings)- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): Tufte could be a good long-term option, but he’s really raw and his dominance of high-school hockey didn’t translate to junior. He would be a nice fit with Carolina.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): With one first round win under their belts, the Jets can afford to swing for the fences with this high-upside prospect. Stanley is a massive, shutdown defender who uses his size and physicality to quell any opposing attack. But is that all there is? Any team using a first-rounder on him will have to believe that he can become more effective outside his own zone.
23. Florida Panthers- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): The Panthers are a real wild card based on how they shuffled their draft. It's not entirely clear who will have the final say on this pick. That said, this team has never been scared of drafting smaller players. When that player has two 51-goal seasons in the OHL, it makes that decision even easier.
24. Anaheim Ducks- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): It is notoriously difficult to determine how good Russian players actually are. Scoring in that league is weird, and the relatively new MHL is rather low-level in terms of junior development. But his performances in international competition are solid (1-3-4 in five games at the Ivan Hlinka, 2-4-6 in four at the Junior A U-19s). Well-rounded, elite hockey sense, etc. That's what you get when you read about him, and at 24 that might become a value pick for you.
25. Dallas Stars- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
26. Washington Capitals- Dennis Cholowski, Defenseman, Chilliwack: It's all projection with Cholowski, who feasted on lesser competition in the BCHL this season. He's painfully thin and that's made him easy to push around, but scouts look at how quickly he's grown and think it's only a matter of time before his body fills out. In the meantime, they rave about his skating, his hockey sense and his positioning.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): A frame like that is bound to grab the attention of scouts, but that doesn't mean they agree on what he could become. Thompson's 14 goals were a decent total for a freshman, but 13 of them came with the extra man. That will drop him in some books, but raise him in others since that total led the nation.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Libor Hajek, Defenseman, Saskatoon (WHL): Solidly build, defense-first defenseman. That's not to downplay his skating ability or hockey sense—he's strong in both areas. But his natural inclination is to take care of his own zone. He has great instincts, has a good stick and is tough to beat one-on-one. He's a safe bet to play on the second pair.
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Laberge scored 68 points in 56 games, but was a pretty late birthdate (he's about six months younger than Matthews). Didn't exactly set the world on fire shooting the puck, but his passing is of a high quality.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Boris Katchouk, Wing, Ste. Marie (OHL): There's nothing fancy about Katchouk. He fills that hard-nosed energy role, bringing intensity and determination to every shift. He's more of a support player in the attack zone than a driver, but don't underestimate his offensive potential. He won't be a highlight reel staple, but he'll score the kind of goals that make a difference come crunch time.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Despite the change just ahead of them, the Coyotes will still get one of the three top-end defensemen available in the draft. Sergachev has good size and tremendous offensive instincts. There's poise in his game that suggests an easy transition to the pros. He also would help the Coyotes address their most glaring need in their system.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): Since they acquired Jimmy Vesey earlier this week, the needs the Sabres might still have up front start to go away. This addresses some of the problems the team still has with its blue line, as Juolevi is considered a quality puck-mover because he, too, is a great skater. Extremely high IQ, big body, all that kind of stuff. The overall Buffalo offense for 2018-19 gets a whole lot scarier.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Clayton Keller, Center, U.S. National Development Team: Keller's not exactly big, but his skill is overwhelming. Between the US Development programs games in the USHL and in other games, he scored 158 points in 94 appearances, which is a whole hell of a lot. It's not like the Canadiens are shy about taking highly skilled, smaller guys (one of the organization's admirable qualities). Plus, Keller is heading to Boston University in the fall, and that place is quickly turning into even more of an NHL factory than it has been historically.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): The Devils, as ever, need offense, and the kid who finished first in the OHL in points per game among U-18s fits the bill. The bloodlines are there, and his obvious skill level immediately tells you plenty about what he can do with the puck. He needs to fill out the body a little more, but basically anyone you're picking at this point of the draft is very unlikely to be in the NHL in the next season or two anyway.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Kieffer Bellows, Wing, U.S. National Development Team: After taking defensemen with their top picks in each of the last two years, the Hurricanes could be looking at a forward at No. 13. One of the best available is Bellows, who put up 50 goals playing alongside Clayton Keller last season at the National Team Development Program. The son of former NHL sniper Brian Bellows, Kieffer has some power elements in his game to go along with his devastating shot.
14. Boston Bruins- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): The buzz is growing around Bean. He was listed as the third best defenseman on Bob McKenzie's final rankings on TSN and is one of the draft's most dynamic offensive defensemen. Boston needs more of what Bean can bring to the roster in the near future.
15. Minnesota Wild- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): The Wild are reportedly going to be busy in the trade market and may be dealing from their stable of younger defensemen. That opens a spot to pick one at No. 15, at which point McAvoy looks like a strong possibility. He's polished and productive.
16. Detroit Red Wings- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
17. Nashville Predators- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Kunin never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): The point total isn't there for this guy — 57 in 54 — but consider this: 41 of those points (almost 3 out of every 4) were goals. This has to be the CHL Cy Young winner by a pretty wide margin. He's a 6-foot-4 power forward who scored 40 damn goals in his draft year. Flyers are lucky to get him here.
19. New York Islanders- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Every scout believes McLeod will be a player. The discord comes when they argue about what type of player he'll be. Some see him as a dependable, two-way forward who makes things happen at both ends of the ice with his skating. Others think he can be a dangerous weapon once his hands catch up to his feet. He'd add size and speed to an organization that is loaded on the back end and needs some talent up front.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Big, strong, aggressive, borderline dirty ... this kid was born to wear black and orange. Jones projects as a middle-six power forward who can rev up the team with his motor or a big hit. Plays a hard north-south game and has better offensive tools than he gets credit for.
21. Carolina Hurricanes (via Los Angeles Kings)- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): Tufte could be a good long-term option, but he’s really raw and his dominance of high-school hockey didn’t translate to junior. He would be a nice fit with Carolina.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): With one first round win under their belts, the Jets can afford to swing for the fences with this high-upside prospect. Stanley is a massive, shutdown defender who uses his size and physicality to quell any opposing attack. But is that all there is? Any team using a first-rounder on him will have to believe that he can become more effective outside his own zone.
23. Florida Panthers- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): The Panthers are a real wild card based on how they shuffled their draft. It's not entirely clear who will have the final say on this pick. That said, this team has never been scared of drafting smaller players. When that player has two 51-goal seasons in the OHL, it makes that decision even easier.
24. Anaheim Ducks- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): It is notoriously difficult to determine how good Russian players actually are. Scoring in that league is weird, and the relatively new MHL is rather low-level in terms of junior development. But his performances in international competition are solid (1-3-4 in five games at the Ivan Hlinka, 2-4-6 in four at the Junior A U-19s). Well-rounded, elite hockey sense, etc. That's what you get when you read about him, and at 24 that might become a value pick for you.
25. Dallas Stars- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
26. Washington Capitals- Dennis Cholowski, Defenseman, Chilliwack: It's all projection with Cholowski, who feasted on lesser competition in the BCHL this season. He's painfully thin and that's made him easy to push around, but scouts look at how quickly he's grown and think it's only a matter of time before his body fills out. In the meantime, they rave about his skating, his hockey sense and his positioning.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): A frame like that is bound to grab the attention of scouts, but that doesn't mean they agree on what he could become. Thompson's 14 goals were a decent total for a freshman, but 13 of them came with the extra man. That will drop him in some books, but raise him in others since that total led the nation.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Libor Hajek, Defenseman, Saskatoon (WHL): Solidly build, defense-first defenseman. That's not to downplay his skating ability or hockey sense—he's strong in both areas. But his natural inclination is to take care of his own zone. He has great instincts, has a good stick and is tough to beat one-on-one. He's a safe bet to play on the second pair.
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Laberge scored 68 points in 56 games, but was a pretty late birthdate (he's about six months younger than Matthews). Didn't exactly set the world on fire shooting the puck, but his passing is of a high quality.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Boris Katchouk, Wing, Ste. Marie (OHL): There's nothing fancy about Katchouk. He fills that hard-nosed energy role, bringing intensity and determination to every shift. He's more of a support player in the attack zone than a driver, but don't underestimate his offensive potential. He won't be a highlight reel staple, but he'll score the kind of goals that make a difference come crunch time.
Thursday, June 23, 2016
2016 NHL Mock Draft: 3rd Edition
Here is my third edition of my 2016 NHL Mock Draft.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): The Coyotes desperately need another Oliver Ekman-Larsson on the back end to move the puck and start their transition game. This kid is a carbon copy of Ekman-Larsson, and the two of them would team up to give Arizona a tremendous power play point duo.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Many GMs see the young Russian as the best defenceman in the draft. Could easily be gone by the time Tim Murray picks.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): Nylander had 75 points in 57 games for Mississauga in the OHL last year and showed some of the flair of sill possessed by older brother William and dad Michael Nylander. He also starred for Sweden at the World Juniors and U18s, often looking superior offensively against many of his peers. The Habs have a lot of wings in their prospect pipeline already, but Nylander probably moves right up to the top among them based on his overall skill level.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Clayton Keller, Center, U.S. National Development Team: Keller had a record-breaking year at USA Hockey's National Team Development Program in Michigan with 107 points. He also became the vaunted program's all-time leading scorer with 189 over his two years there, surpassing the likes of Phil Kessel and Patrick Kane to do it. A gifted playmaker, with tremendous on-ice vision, Keller should be a point-producing machine throughout his career.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Every scout believes McLeod will be a player. The discord comes when they argue about what type of player he'll be. Some see him as a dependable, two-way forward who makes things happen at both ends of the ice with his skating. Others think he can be a dangerous weapon once his hands catch up to his feet. He'd add size and speed to an organization that is loaded on the back end and needs some talent up front.
14. Boston Bruins- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): Hey, he’s already playing about 15 minutes away (at Boston University) from the Bruins’ home rink, so you know they’ve got a good read on him. Boston has a lot of age to replace on the blue line over the next two years, and this kid might be a Ryan Suter-style defenseman: efficient, effective, does everything well. Will play at a high level for many, many years.
15. Minnesota Wild- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): Gauthier is a specimen. His combination of size, speed, power and desire make him a challenge for any defender to handle ... but it's his ability to finish that makes him so intriguing. His Cy Young-like stat line raises eyebrows, but for a team that needs size as much as scoring touch, that's something the Wild are likely to overlook.
16. Detroit Red Wings- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): Didn’t get to play under-18s because of a broken foot. Might be best puck mover of the first round blueline candidates.
17. Nashville Predators- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Kunin never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Big, strong, aggressive, borderline dirty ... this kid was born to wear black and orange. Jones projects as a middle-six power forward who can rev up the team with his motor or a big hit. Plays a hard north-south game and has better offensive tools than he gets credit for. If the Flyers don't go for Jones, winger Riley Tufte could be an option here.
19. New York Islanders- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): The Isles will likely lose Kyle Okposo, Matt Martin, and/or Frans Neilsen to free agency. Rubstov would be a nice fit for the Isles.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
21. Carolina Hurricanes (via Los Angeles Kings)- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): Tufte could be a good long-term option, but he’s really raw and his dominance of high-school hockey didn’t translate to junior. He would be a nice fit with Carolina.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): With one first round win under their belts, the Jets can afford to swing for the fences with this high-upside prospect. Stanley is a massive, shutdown defender who uses his size and physicality to quell any opposing attack. But is that all there is? Any team using a first-rounder on him will have to believe that he can become more effective outside his own zone.
23. Florida Panthers- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): A frame like that is bound to grab the attention of scouts, but that doesn't mean they agree on what he could become. Thompson's 14 goals were a decent total for a freshman, but 13 of them came with the extra man. That will drop him in some books, but raise him in others since that total led the nation.
24. Anaheim Ducks- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
25. Dallas Stars- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): Five years ago, DeBrincat wouldn't have been drafted at all, let alone be considered in the first round. But times have changed, and the smaller player is the beneficiary. Now scouts see the back-to-back 51-goal seasons, the skating ability and the fearless way he attacks the greasy areas and can picture him translating that production to the NHL. The Stars are loaded on the back end, so adding the forward with the most upside makes sense for the organization.
26. Washington Capitals- Libor Hajek, Defenseman, Saskatoon (WHL): Solidly build, defense-first defenseman. That's not to downplay his skating ability or hockey sense—he's strong in both areas. But his natural inclination is to take care of his own zone. He has great instincts, has a good stick and is tough to beat one-on-one. He's a safe bet to play on the second pair.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Speaking of liking Russian forwards, the Lightning would probably take Rubtsov or Abramov if either of them are available here. Instead, Tampa Bay takes Laberge, who was the first star of the CHL Top Prospects Game.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Dennis Cholowski, Defenseman, Chilliwack: It's all projection with Cholowski, who feasted on lesser competition in the BCHL this season. He's painfully thin and that's made him easy to push around, but scouts look at how quickly he's grown and think it's only a matter of time before his body fills out. In the meantime, they rave about his skating, his hockey sense and his positioning.
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Wade Allison, Wing, Tri City (USHL): If last year's draft was any indication, the B's are likely to go off the board with their second of two first-rounders (acquired in the Martin Jones trade). Allison fits the bill perfectly. The power forward plays a Bruins-style game, wreaking havoc along the walls and down low. He won't make anything happen in open ice, but he knows where to go to score. He led the USHL playoffs with nine goals, and was named postseason MVP after helping the Storm win the league title.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Boris Katchouk, Wing, Ste. Marie (OHL): There's nothing fancy about Katchouk. He fills that hard-nosed energy role, bringing intensity and determination to every shift. He's more of a support player in the attack zone than a driver, but don't underestimate his offensive potential. He won't be a highlight reel staple, but he'll score the kind of goals that make a difference come crunch time.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): The Coyotes desperately need another Oliver Ekman-Larsson on the back end to move the puck and start their transition game. This kid is a carbon copy of Ekman-Larsson, and the two of them would team up to give Arizona a tremendous power play point duo.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Many GMs see the young Russian as the best defenceman in the draft. Could easily be gone by the time Tim Murray picks.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): Nylander had 75 points in 57 games for Mississauga in the OHL last year and showed some of the flair of sill possessed by older brother William and dad Michael Nylander. He also starred for Sweden at the World Juniors and U18s, often looking superior offensively against many of his peers. The Habs have a lot of wings in their prospect pipeline already, but Nylander probably moves right up to the top among them based on his overall skill level.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Clayton Keller, Center, U.S. National Development Team: Keller had a record-breaking year at USA Hockey's National Team Development Program in Michigan with 107 points. He also became the vaunted program's all-time leading scorer with 189 over his two years there, surpassing the likes of Phil Kessel and Patrick Kane to do it. A gifted playmaker, with tremendous on-ice vision, Keller should be a point-producing machine throughout his career.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Every scout believes McLeod will be a player. The discord comes when they argue about what type of player he'll be. Some see him as a dependable, two-way forward who makes things happen at both ends of the ice with his skating. Others think he can be a dangerous weapon once his hands catch up to his feet. He'd add size and speed to an organization that is loaded on the back end and needs some talent up front.
14. Boston Bruins- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): Hey, he’s already playing about 15 minutes away (at Boston University) from the Bruins’ home rink, so you know they’ve got a good read on him. Boston has a lot of age to replace on the blue line over the next two years, and this kid might be a Ryan Suter-style defenseman: efficient, effective, does everything well. Will play at a high level for many, many years.
15. Minnesota Wild- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): Gauthier is a specimen. His combination of size, speed, power and desire make him a challenge for any defender to handle ... but it's his ability to finish that makes him so intriguing. His Cy Young-like stat line raises eyebrows, but for a team that needs size as much as scoring touch, that's something the Wild are likely to overlook.
16. Detroit Red Wings- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): Didn’t get to play under-18s because of a broken foot. Might be best puck mover of the first round blueline candidates.
17. Nashville Predators- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Kunin never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Big, strong, aggressive, borderline dirty ... this kid was born to wear black and orange. Jones projects as a middle-six power forward who can rev up the team with his motor or a big hit. Plays a hard north-south game and has better offensive tools than he gets credit for. If the Flyers don't go for Jones, winger Riley Tufte could be an option here.
19. New York Islanders- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): The Isles will likely lose Kyle Okposo, Matt Martin, and/or Frans Neilsen to free agency. Rubstov would be a nice fit for the Isles.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
21. Carolina Hurricanes (via Los Angeles Kings)- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): Tufte could be a good long-term option, but he’s really raw and his dominance of high-school hockey didn’t translate to junior. He would be a nice fit with Carolina.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): With one first round win under their belts, the Jets can afford to swing for the fences with this high-upside prospect. Stanley is a massive, shutdown defender who uses his size and physicality to quell any opposing attack. But is that all there is? Any team using a first-rounder on him will have to believe that he can become more effective outside his own zone.
23. Florida Panthers- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): A frame like that is bound to grab the attention of scouts, but that doesn't mean they agree on what he could become. Thompson's 14 goals were a decent total for a freshman, but 13 of them came with the extra man. That will drop him in some books, but raise him in others since that total led the nation.
24. Anaheim Ducks- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
25. Dallas Stars- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): Five years ago, DeBrincat wouldn't have been drafted at all, let alone be considered in the first round. But times have changed, and the smaller player is the beneficiary. Now scouts see the back-to-back 51-goal seasons, the skating ability and the fearless way he attacks the greasy areas and can picture him translating that production to the NHL. The Stars are loaded on the back end, so adding the forward with the most upside makes sense for the organization.
26. Washington Capitals- Libor Hajek, Defenseman, Saskatoon (WHL): Solidly build, defense-first defenseman. That's not to downplay his skating ability or hockey sense—he's strong in both areas. But his natural inclination is to take care of his own zone. He has great instincts, has a good stick and is tough to beat one-on-one. He's a safe bet to play on the second pair.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Speaking of liking Russian forwards, the Lightning would probably take Rubtsov or Abramov if either of them are available here. Instead, Tampa Bay takes Laberge, who was the first star of the CHL Top Prospects Game.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Dennis Cholowski, Defenseman, Chilliwack: It's all projection with Cholowski, who feasted on lesser competition in the BCHL this season. He's painfully thin and that's made him easy to push around, but scouts look at how quickly he's grown and think it's only a matter of time before his body fills out. In the meantime, they rave about his skating, his hockey sense and his positioning.
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Wade Allison, Wing, Tri City (USHL): If last year's draft was any indication, the B's are likely to go off the board with their second of two first-rounders (acquired in the Martin Jones trade). Allison fits the bill perfectly. The power forward plays a Bruins-style game, wreaking havoc along the walls and down low. He won't make anything happen in open ice, but he knows where to go to score. He led the USHL playoffs with nine goals, and was named postseason MVP after helping the Storm win the league title.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Boris Katchouk, Wing, Ste. Marie (OHL): There's nothing fancy about Katchouk. He fills that hard-nosed energy role, bringing intensity and determination to every shift. He's more of a support player in the attack zone than a driver, but don't underestimate his offensive potential. He won't be a highlight reel staple, but he'll score the kind of goals that make a difference come crunch time.
2016 NBA Mock Draft: Final Edition
Here is my final edition of my 2016 NBA Mock Draft.
1. Philadelphia 76ers- Ben Simmons, Power Forward, LSU: With their hodge podge of big men and Simmons with star potential with his ball handling and passing, he’s an obvious choice even as some executives favor Ingram for his shooting. Simmons isn’t a good shooter. Reports say that Philly will indeed select Simmons tomorrow night number one overall.
2. Los Angeles Lakers- Brandon Ingram, Small Forward, Duke: The Lakers needed a little bit of luck, and got it here. Not only were they able to keep the selection (it was top-three protected) and end up with the No. 2 pick in a two-player draft, but they're also in line to grab a guy whose skills perfectly complement the other pieces they already have. LA is still a long way away from competing for titles, but Ingram and D'Angelo Russell are good pieces to build around. Reports say that the Lakers will take Ingram as long as if the Sixers take Simmons and barring a blockbuster trade offer.
3. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)- Kris Dunn, Point Guard, Providence: This projected pick is taking into consideration that there's a good chance that the pick gets moved. If not, Marquese Chriss or Dragan Bender are both upside picks that Boston could decide upon. Dunn would give them an additional point guard to platoon with Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart. There are reports saying Dunn is the favorite to go here if Boston doesn't trade the pick.
4. Phoenix Suns- Marquese Chriss, Power Forward, Washington: Like Boston, Phoenix also has multiple first-round picks, and may consider a deal here for the right player, but if not, getting a power forward who can stretch the floor could be a priority. Chriss is still somewhat raw skill-wise, and he doesn’t quite understand the game yet, but he is a high-level athlete who can run the floor, block shots, and knock down jumpers. He could turn into a good starter down the road.
5. Minnesota Timberwolves- Buddy Hield, Shooting Guard, Oklahoma: Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau accurately believes the Timberwolves are ready to break through and make the NBA Playoffs soon. So drafting someone who can contribute immediately makes sense, and Hield is undeniably ready to play as a rookie. The reigning CBS Sports National Player of the Year is probably the best shooter in this draft, meaning he'd be a great addition to a Minnesota team that ranked 25th in 3-point shooting this season while finishing 29-53.
6. New Orleans Pelicans- Jamal Murray, Point Guard/Shooting Guard, Kentucky: The Pelicans would probably prefer to see Dunn available here, but Murray is a very solid kid with a high floor. There is some optimism that he can develop into a point guard, which he played in high school. But his lack of speed, which makes the CJ McCollum comparisons far-fetched, likely limits him to being a shooting guard. He is a bit longer than some reports have stated as he measured at 8'4.5" in his first year and then a 8'2.5" standing reach in his second year at the Hoop Summit, which is probably more accurate than the 8'1" he measured at the Kentucky Combine.
7. Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)- Dragan Bender, Power Forward/Center, Croatia: The Nuggets seem to be Bender's backstop as there's speculation he could go 3 or 4, but more and more
chatter has him falling to 7, where Denver, who has a heavy International focus would likely gobble him up. Bender had a rough season, and needs time before he can begin to realize his talent.
8. Sacramento Kings- Jalen Brown, Small Forward, California: Brown is another player who could go anywhere from third to eighth, but almost certainly no lower than here. He's a top-shelf athlete. But he's the one guy in this range that everybody seems intrigued by but few love. Why didn't he close more strongly at Cal? Is he coachable or a young guy who thinks he already has all the answers? These are questions scouts are asking, I'm told. But, at some point in the top 10, somebody will take Brown simply because he's a big wing who can play the four in a small-ball lineup, and big wings who can play the four in small-ball lineups are more valuable than ever in the NBA.
9. Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)- Domontas Sabonis, Power Forward/Center, Gonzaga: Masai Ujiri is not afraid of taking players based on long-term potential (Hello, Bruno Caboclo!) but with a playoff-hardened team that also happens to have a yawning gap at power forward, drafting for need — the need being a relatively immediate solution to play the four alongside Jonas Valancuinas — I see the Raps using the No. 9 pick to take player who can make a contribution sooner than later. Domantas Sabonis has the motor and IQ that will make him a good fit in the Raptors’ emerging culture, and his promise as a perimeter threat provides hope of him fitting alongside Valanciunas. And the more Lithuanians, the better.
10. Milwaukee Bucks- Jakob Poeltl, Power Forward/Center, Utah: The Bucks would like to see Sabonis fall, which would allow them to draft a potential stretch-four who played college ball in Milwaukee. But if he's off the board, Poeltl is a good fit. He's a big who plays big -- proof being that 94 percent of his buckets this past season came around the rim. The 7-foot-1 center would help Milwaukee shore up an interior defense by adding a rim protector who is a better-than-most-realize athlete.
11. Orlando Magic- Skal Labissiere, Power Forward/Center, Kentucky: Despite Labissiere's disappointing freshman season at Kentucky, his two skill sets – shot blocking and perimeter shooting – would be a nice fit next to Nikola Vucevic, even if he might be a bit risky.
12. Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)- Deyonta Davis, Power Forward, Michigan State: With trading Jeff Teague away earlier today, the Hawks received this pick from the Jazz as the Pacers gave up George Hill to get Teague. The Al Horford era in Atlanta might soon be over. Enter Davis, who’s very raw. But where the big man excels? Rebounding and shot-blocking.
13. Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)- Dejounte Murray, Point Guard, Washington: If the Suns are going for balance with their first two picks, they look for backcourt help. Even with roster strength at guard, they can develop a backup point guard and tap early into the immense potential of a long, explosive guard with hunger and confidence.
14. Chicago Bulls- Wade Baldwin IV, Point Guard, Vanderbilt: Derrick Rose is now a Knick — moment of silence for his time in Chicago. Tough shoes to fill at PG but next in line is an overall solid Baldwin.
15. Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)- Furkan Korkmaz, Shooting Guard, Turkey: Korkmaz is a terrific shooter with ideal size for his position, and the fact that he decided to remain in the NBA Draft suggests he has a promise somewhere in the top 20. For a team that needs depth everywhere and shooting -- the Nuggets tied for 25th in 3-point shooting this regular season -- Korkmaz is a smart option.
16. Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)- Henry Ellenson, Power Forward/Center, Marquette: Boston could use another big man to pair with Kelly Olynyk and Jared Sullinger. This pick is also in play for a trade.
17. Memphis Grizzlies- Malachi Richardson, Shooting Guard, Syracuse: Pomp and circumstance. A monster freshman year has Richardson out of school and in the draft. A nice athletic piece for the veteran Grizz.
18. Detroit Pistons- Denzel Valentine, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Michigan State: Valentine reportedly has a "fairly significant knee issue" that is causing concern with some teams, and, I'm told, it could cost him on draft night. At some point, somebody will be weigh the risk vs. the reward and snag the former Michigan State star. But, at this point, it's hard to pin things down -- although the Pistons pulling the trigger and adding a local player who can help immediately would hardly be surprising.
19. Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)- Ante Zizic, Center, Croatia: The Nuggets have three of the first 19 picks. So taking strong international prospects who can theoretically stay overseas is an obvious option, and Zizic checks those boxes. The 19 year old is a great rebounder with a terrific motor and good size. He could easily develop into a starting center in the NBA.
20. Brooklyn Nets (via Indiana Pacers)- Timothe Luwawu, Shooting Guard, France: Reports are that Indiana traded this pick for Thad Young. Luwawu made his big move last year playing in his native France, then built on that in 2015-16 against tougher competition with a varied offensive game of scoring and passing. His size would be an asset in the backcourt, with enough athleticism that he won't be a liability on defense against smaller, quicker shooting guards. With little experience before this season other than the lesser French leagues, not even as part of the national teams at a junior level, he has had to ease concerns about the jump in competition.
21. Atlanta Hawks- Taurean Prince, Small Forward, Baylor: Prince is a 6-8 wing who has the athleticism and wingspan to guard his position, and even multiple positions, at the NBA level. I know some teams in the teens really like him -- most notably the Grizzlies. So there's no guarantee Prince will be available at 21. But, if he is, the Hawks would be wise to snatch him up.
22. Charlotte Hornets- Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Improved perimeter shooting is a big part of Charlotte’s recent success, but Nic Batum and Courtney Lee both upcoming free agents, they could look to replenish some of their perimeter depth with younger, cheaper options. Beasley shot 38.7% from three-point range as a freshman for Florida State.
23. Boston Celtics- Thon Maker, Power Forward/Center, Australia: He had been considered a bubble pick for the first round, but teams are simply too intrigued by the possibilities, even if the subject of great hype for years remains a project who will probably need at least a season and maybe two before he makes any significant NBA impact. The worry among some front offices is that Maker will last until late enough in the first round to be chosen by a good team that does not need an immediate contribution and can wait for him to develop, potentially into a big payoff in a few years. He especially makes sense for a team spending its third pick of the first round, if the Celtics don't make a trade.
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami Heat via Cleveland Cavaliers)- Demeatrius Jackson, Point Guard, Notre Dame: Jackson could become more of a vocal leader, but for a team searching for an identity, adding a traditional point guard to go along with the 6-foot-10 one they're likely to grab at No. 1 would fill a pressing need for them.
25. Los Angeles Clippers- DeAndre' Bembry, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Saint Joseph's: Bembry would be the kind of wing that would really help a team that's contending early in his career. He's tough, he's smart, he competes, and he plays well within an offensive scheme. He needs to do a lot still in terms of proving himself as a shooter, but Bembry could easily become an excellent fit in between J.J. Redick and Blake Griffin if the team decides to not make any moves this offseason in terms of its core.
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City Thunder via Cleveland Cavaliers/Denver Nuggets)- Ivica Zubac, Center, Croatia: The run of Draft-and-stash players begins with the perfect candidate and a team picking for the third time in the opening round. Zubac has an opportunity to become a solid player on both ends, with a good chance he would stay in Europe at least one more season to continue to develop. He is only 19, yet already has good size along with excellent mobility and good hands that will allow him to play in transition.
27. Toronto Raptors- Cheick Diallo, Center, Kansas: The Mali native who attended high school in New York state had a very choppy freshman season at Kansas, from missing two exhibitions and five games as the NCAA sorted through eligibility issues to undependable play once he was cleared. There were stretches when just staying on the court was a challenge, and he averaged 7.5 minutes. But athleticism, size and potential on defense makes him a very intriguing prospect. While it would not be a surprise if he dropped out of the first round, some team will be lured by the physical tools to invest intensive coaching and a lot of NBA D-League time -- a team making its third pick, for example.
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland Cavaliers via Boston Celtics)- Juan Hernangomez, Power Forward, Spain: This is Phoenix’s third pick in the first round, and I would expect them to take a player they can leave overseas for a bit longer. Hernangomez is a skilled power forward, with the ability to step away from the rim a bit, and he has played a good amount of minutes overseas already. He could be ready to come over in a year or two at the rate he is developing.
29. San Antonio Spurs- Brice Johnson, Power Forward, North Carolina: He coasts with frustrating regularity, enough to become the difference between first-round talent and second-round reality. Johnson has good scoring instincts, the experience of four seasons on Tobacco Road and good size at power forward along with the leaping ability that won two high school state high-jump championships in South Carolina.
30. Golden State Warriors- Diamond Stone, Center, Maryland: Stone has not helped himself in interviews, I'm told. And there are background issues that concern some franchises. Still, he's just so much more talented than most other prospects in this range. And that's why the Warriors might be willing to take a swing late in the first and hope the talent develops, and the other concerns disappear, with time.
1. Philadelphia 76ers- Ben Simmons, Power Forward, LSU: With their hodge podge of big men and Simmons with star potential with his ball handling and passing, he’s an obvious choice even as some executives favor Ingram for his shooting. Simmons isn’t a good shooter. Reports say that Philly will indeed select Simmons tomorrow night number one overall.
2. Los Angeles Lakers- Brandon Ingram, Small Forward, Duke: The Lakers needed a little bit of luck, and got it here. Not only were they able to keep the selection (it was top-three protected) and end up with the No. 2 pick in a two-player draft, but they're also in line to grab a guy whose skills perfectly complement the other pieces they already have. LA is still a long way away from competing for titles, but Ingram and D'Angelo Russell are good pieces to build around. Reports say that the Lakers will take Ingram as long as if the Sixers take Simmons and barring a blockbuster trade offer.
3. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)- Kris Dunn, Point Guard, Providence: This projected pick is taking into consideration that there's a good chance that the pick gets moved. If not, Marquese Chriss or Dragan Bender are both upside picks that Boston could decide upon. Dunn would give them an additional point guard to platoon with Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart. There are reports saying Dunn is the favorite to go here if Boston doesn't trade the pick.
4. Phoenix Suns- Marquese Chriss, Power Forward, Washington: Like Boston, Phoenix also has multiple first-round picks, and may consider a deal here for the right player, but if not, getting a power forward who can stretch the floor could be a priority. Chriss is still somewhat raw skill-wise, and he doesn’t quite understand the game yet, but he is a high-level athlete who can run the floor, block shots, and knock down jumpers. He could turn into a good starter down the road.
5. Minnesota Timberwolves- Buddy Hield, Shooting Guard, Oklahoma: Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau accurately believes the Timberwolves are ready to break through and make the NBA Playoffs soon. So drafting someone who can contribute immediately makes sense, and Hield is undeniably ready to play as a rookie. The reigning CBS Sports National Player of the Year is probably the best shooter in this draft, meaning he'd be a great addition to a Minnesota team that ranked 25th in 3-point shooting this season while finishing 29-53.
6. New Orleans Pelicans- Jamal Murray, Point Guard/Shooting Guard, Kentucky: The Pelicans would probably prefer to see Dunn available here, but Murray is a very solid kid with a high floor. There is some optimism that he can develop into a point guard, which he played in high school. But his lack of speed, which makes the CJ McCollum comparisons far-fetched, likely limits him to being a shooting guard. He is a bit longer than some reports have stated as he measured at 8'4.5" in his first year and then a 8'2.5" standing reach in his second year at the Hoop Summit, which is probably more accurate than the 8'1" he measured at the Kentucky Combine.
7. Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)- Dragan Bender, Power Forward/Center, Croatia: The Nuggets seem to be Bender's backstop as there's speculation he could go 3 or 4, but more and more
chatter has him falling to 7, where Denver, who has a heavy International focus would likely gobble him up. Bender had a rough season, and needs time before he can begin to realize his talent.
8. Sacramento Kings- Jalen Brown, Small Forward, California: Brown is another player who could go anywhere from third to eighth, but almost certainly no lower than here. He's a top-shelf athlete. But he's the one guy in this range that everybody seems intrigued by but few love. Why didn't he close more strongly at Cal? Is he coachable or a young guy who thinks he already has all the answers? These are questions scouts are asking, I'm told. But, at some point in the top 10, somebody will take Brown simply because he's a big wing who can play the four in a small-ball lineup, and big wings who can play the four in small-ball lineups are more valuable than ever in the NBA.
9. Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)- Domontas Sabonis, Power Forward/Center, Gonzaga: Masai Ujiri is not afraid of taking players based on long-term potential (Hello, Bruno Caboclo!) but with a playoff-hardened team that also happens to have a yawning gap at power forward, drafting for need — the need being a relatively immediate solution to play the four alongside Jonas Valancuinas — I see the Raps using the No. 9 pick to take player who can make a contribution sooner than later. Domantas Sabonis has the motor and IQ that will make him a good fit in the Raptors’ emerging culture, and his promise as a perimeter threat provides hope of him fitting alongside Valanciunas. And the more Lithuanians, the better.
10. Milwaukee Bucks- Jakob Poeltl, Power Forward/Center, Utah: The Bucks would like to see Sabonis fall, which would allow them to draft a potential stretch-four who played college ball in Milwaukee. But if he's off the board, Poeltl is a good fit. He's a big who plays big -- proof being that 94 percent of his buckets this past season came around the rim. The 7-foot-1 center would help Milwaukee shore up an interior defense by adding a rim protector who is a better-than-most-realize athlete.
11. Orlando Magic- Skal Labissiere, Power Forward/Center, Kentucky: Despite Labissiere's disappointing freshman season at Kentucky, his two skill sets – shot blocking and perimeter shooting – would be a nice fit next to Nikola Vucevic, even if he might be a bit risky.
12. Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)- Deyonta Davis, Power Forward, Michigan State: With trading Jeff Teague away earlier today, the Hawks received this pick from the Jazz as the Pacers gave up George Hill to get Teague. The Al Horford era in Atlanta might soon be over. Enter Davis, who’s very raw. But where the big man excels? Rebounding and shot-blocking.
13. Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)- Dejounte Murray, Point Guard, Washington: If the Suns are going for balance with their first two picks, they look for backcourt help. Even with roster strength at guard, they can develop a backup point guard and tap early into the immense potential of a long, explosive guard with hunger and confidence.
14. Chicago Bulls- Wade Baldwin IV, Point Guard, Vanderbilt: Derrick Rose is now a Knick — moment of silence for his time in Chicago. Tough shoes to fill at PG but next in line is an overall solid Baldwin.
15. Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)- Furkan Korkmaz, Shooting Guard, Turkey: Korkmaz is a terrific shooter with ideal size for his position, and the fact that he decided to remain in the NBA Draft suggests he has a promise somewhere in the top 20. For a team that needs depth everywhere and shooting -- the Nuggets tied for 25th in 3-point shooting this regular season -- Korkmaz is a smart option.
16. Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)- Henry Ellenson, Power Forward/Center, Marquette: Boston could use another big man to pair with Kelly Olynyk and Jared Sullinger. This pick is also in play for a trade.
17. Memphis Grizzlies- Malachi Richardson, Shooting Guard, Syracuse: Pomp and circumstance. A monster freshman year has Richardson out of school and in the draft. A nice athletic piece for the veteran Grizz.
18. Detroit Pistons- Denzel Valentine, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Michigan State: Valentine reportedly has a "fairly significant knee issue" that is causing concern with some teams, and, I'm told, it could cost him on draft night. At some point, somebody will be weigh the risk vs. the reward and snag the former Michigan State star. But, at this point, it's hard to pin things down -- although the Pistons pulling the trigger and adding a local player who can help immediately would hardly be surprising.
19. Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)- Ante Zizic, Center, Croatia: The Nuggets have three of the first 19 picks. So taking strong international prospects who can theoretically stay overseas is an obvious option, and Zizic checks those boxes. The 19 year old is a great rebounder with a terrific motor and good size. He could easily develop into a starting center in the NBA.
20. Brooklyn Nets (via Indiana Pacers)- Timothe Luwawu, Shooting Guard, France: Reports are that Indiana traded this pick for Thad Young. Luwawu made his big move last year playing in his native France, then built on that in 2015-16 against tougher competition with a varied offensive game of scoring and passing. His size would be an asset in the backcourt, with enough athleticism that he won't be a liability on defense against smaller, quicker shooting guards. With little experience before this season other than the lesser French leagues, not even as part of the national teams at a junior level, he has had to ease concerns about the jump in competition.
21. Atlanta Hawks- Taurean Prince, Small Forward, Baylor: Prince is a 6-8 wing who has the athleticism and wingspan to guard his position, and even multiple positions, at the NBA level. I know some teams in the teens really like him -- most notably the Grizzlies. So there's no guarantee Prince will be available at 21. But, if he is, the Hawks would be wise to snatch him up.
22. Charlotte Hornets- Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Improved perimeter shooting is a big part of Charlotte’s recent success, but Nic Batum and Courtney Lee both upcoming free agents, they could look to replenish some of their perimeter depth with younger, cheaper options. Beasley shot 38.7% from three-point range as a freshman for Florida State.
23. Boston Celtics- Thon Maker, Power Forward/Center, Australia: He had been considered a bubble pick for the first round, but teams are simply too intrigued by the possibilities, even if the subject of great hype for years remains a project who will probably need at least a season and maybe two before he makes any significant NBA impact. The worry among some front offices is that Maker will last until late enough in the first round to be chosen by a good team that does not need an immediate contribution and can wait for him to develop, potentially into a big payoff in a few years. He especially makes sense for a team spending its third pick of the first round, if the Celtics don't make a trade.
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami Heat via Cleveland Cavaliers)- Demeatrius Jackson, Point Guard, Notre Dame: Jackson could become more of a vocal leader, but for a team searching for an identity, adding a traditional point guard to go along with the 6-foot-10 one they're likely to grab at No. 1 would fill a pressing need for them.
25. Los Angeles Clippers- DeAndre' Bembry, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Saint Joseph's: Bembry would be the kind of wing that would really help a team that's contending early in his career. He's tough, he's smart, he competes, and he plays well within an offensive scheme. He needs to do a lot still in terms of proving himself as a shooter, but Bembry could easily become an excellent fit in between J.J. Redick and Blake Griffin if the team decides to not make any moves this offseason in terms of its core.
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City Thunder via Cleveland Cavaliers/Denver Nuggets)- Ivica Zubac, Center, Croatia: The run of Draft-and-stash players begins with the perfect candidate and a team picking for the third time in the opening round. Zubac has an opportunity to become a solid player on both ends, with a good chance he would stay in Europe at least one more season to continue to develop. He is only 19, yet already has good size along with excellent mobility and good hands that will allow him to play in transition.
27. Toronto Raptors- Cheick Diallo, Center, Kansas: The Mali native who attended high school in New York state had a very choppy freshman season at Kansas, from missing two exhibitions and five games as the NCAA sorted through eligibility issues to undependable play once he was cleared. There were stretches when just staying on the court was a challenge, and he averaged 7.5 minutes. But athleticism, size and potential on defense makes him a very intriguing prospect. While it would not be a surprise if he dropped out of the first round, some team will be lured by the physical tools to invest intensive coaching and a lot of NBA D-League time -- a team making its third pick, for example.
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland Cavaliers via Boston Celtics)- Juan Hernangomez, Power Forward, Spain: This is Phoenix’s third pick in the first round, and I would expect them to take a player they can leave overseas for a bit longer. Hernangomez is a skilled power forward, with the ability to step away from the rim a bit, and he has played a good amount of minutes overseas already. He could be ready to come over in a year or two at the rate he is developing.
29. San Antonio Spurs- Brice Johnson, Power Forward, North Carolina: He coasts with frustrating regularity, enough to become the difference between first-round talent and second-round reality. Johnson has good scoring instincts, the experience of four seasons on Tobacco Road and good size at power forward along with the leaping ability that won two high school state high-jump championships in South Carolina.
30. Golden State Warriors- Diamond Stone, Center, Maryland: Stone has not helped himself in interviews, I'm told. And there are background issues that concern some franchises. Still, he's just so much more talented than most other prospects in this range. And that's why the Warriors might be willing to take a swing late in the first and hope the talent develops, and the other concerns disappear, with time.
Wednesday, June 22, 2016
2016 NBA Mock Draft: 8th Edition
Here is my eighth edition of my 2016 NBA Mock Draft.
1. Philadelphia 76ers- Ben Simmons, Power Forward, LSU: With their hodge podge of big men and Simmons with star potential with his ball handling and passing, he’s an obvious choice even as some executives favor Ingram for his shooting. Simmons isn’t a good shooter. Reports say that Philly will indeed select Simmons tomorrow night number one overall.
2. Los Angeles Lakers- Brandon Ingram, Small Forward, Duke: The Lakers needed a little bit of luck, and got it here. Not only were they able to keep the selection (it was top-three protected) and end up with the No. 2 pick in a two-player draft, but they're also in line to grab a guy whose skills perfectly complement the other pieces they already have. LA is still a long way away from competing for titles, but Ingram and D'Angelo Russell are good pieces to build around.
3. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)- Kris Dunn, Point Guard, Providence: This projected pick is taking into consideration that there's a good chance that the pick gets moved. If not, Marquese Chriss or Dragan Bender are both upside picks that Boston could decide upon. Dunn would give them an additional point guard to platoon with Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart.
4. Phoenix Suns- Marquese Chriss, Power Forward, Washington: Like Boston, Phoenix also has multiple first-round picks, and may consider a deal here for the right player, but if not, getting a power forward who can stretch the floor could be a priority. Chriss is still somewhat raw skill-wise, and he doesn’t quite understand the game yet, but he is a high-level athlete who can run the floor, block shots, and knock down jumpers. He could turn into a good starter down the road.
5. Minnesota Timberwolves- Buddy Hield, Shooting Guard, Oklahoma: Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau accurately believes the Timberwolves are ready to break through and make the NBA Playoffs soon. So drafting someone who can contribute immediately makes sense, and Hield is undeniably ready to play as a rookie. The reigning CBS Sports National Player of the Year is probably the best shooter in this draft, meaning he'd be a great addition to a Minnesota team that ranked 25th in 3-point shooting this season while finishing 29-53.
6. New Orleans Pelicans- Jamal Murray, Point Guard/Shooting Guard, Kentucky: The Pelicans would probably prefer to see Dunn available here, but Murray is a very solid kid with a high floor. There is some optimism that he can develop into a point guard, which he played in high school. But his lack of speed, which makes the CJ McCollum comparisons far-fetched, likely limits him to being a shooting guard. He is a bit longer than some reports have stated as he measured at 8'4.5" in his first year and then a 8'2.5" standing reach in his second year at the Hoop Summit, which is probably more accurate than the 8'1" he measured at the Kentucky Combine.
7. Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)- Dragan Bender, Power Forward/Center, Croatia: The Nuggets seem to be Bender's backstop as there's speculation he could go 3 or 4, but more and more chatter has him falling to 7, where Denver, who has a heavy International focus would likely gobble
him up. Bender had a rough season, and needs time before he can begin to realize his talent.
8. Sacramento Kings- Jalen Brown, Small Forward, California: Brown is another player who could go anywhere from third to eighth, but almost certainly no lower than here. He's a top-shelf athlete. But he's the one guy in this range that everybody seems intrigued by but few love. Why didn't he close more strongly at Cal? Is he coachable or a young guy who thinks he already has all the answers? These are questions scouts are asking, I'm told. But, at some point in the top 10, somebody will take Brown simply because he's a big wing who can play the four in a small-ball lineup, and big wings who can play the four in small-ball lineups are more valuable than ever in the NBA.
9. Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)- Domontas Sabonis, Power Forward/Center, Gonzaga: Masai Ujiri is not afraid of taking players based on long-term potential (Hello, Bruno Caboclo!) but with a playoff-hardened team that also happens to have a yawning gap at power forward, drafting for need — the need being a relatively immediate solution to play the four alongside Jonas Valancuinas — I see the Raps using the No. 9 pick to take player who can make a contribution sooner than later. Domantas Sabonis has the motor and IQ that will make him a good fit in the Raptors’ emerging culture, and his promise as a perimeter threat provides hope of him fitting alongside Valanciunas. And the more Lithuanians, the better.
10. Milwaukee Bucks- Jakob Poeltl, Power Forward/Center, Utah: The Bucks would like to see Ellenson fall, which would allow them to draft a potential stretch-four who played college ball in Milwaukee. But if he's off the board, Poeltl is a good fit. He's a big who plays big -- proof being that 94 percent of his buckets this past season came around the rim. The 7-foot-1 center would help Milwaukee shore up an interior defense by adding a rim protector who is a better-than-most-realize athlete.
11. Orlando Magic- Skal Labissiere, Power Forward/Center, Kentucky: Despite Labissiere's disappointing freshman season at Kentucky, his two skill sets – shot blocking and perimeter shooting – would be a nice fit next to Nikola Vucevic, even if he might be a bit risky.
12. Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)- Henry Ellenson, Power Forward/Center, Marquette: With trading Jeff Teague away earlier today, the Hawks received this pick from the Jazz as the Pacers gave up George Hill to get Teague. Incase Atlanta loses Al Horford in free agency, I would take a chance with Ellenson, who has some upside.
13. Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)- Dejounte Murray, Guard, Washington: If the Suns are going for balance with their first two picks, they look for backcourt help. Even with roster strength at guard, they can develop a backup point guard and tap early into the immense potential of a long, explosive guard with hunger and confidence.
14. Chicago Bulls- Deyonta Davis, Power Forward, Michigan State: Davis didn't work out for any teams outside the top 10, so there's a chance he goes 9 or 10. But if he slides some the Bulls could see value in his upside and take him here.
15. Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)- Furkan Korkmaz, Shooting Guard, Turkey: Korkmaz is a terrific shooter with ideal size for his position, and the fact that he decided to remain in the NBA Draft suggests he has a promise somewhere in the top 20. For a team that needs depth everywhere and shooting -- the Nuggets tied for 25th in 3-point shooting this regular season -- Korkmaz is a smart option.
16. Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)- Timothe Luwawu, Shooting Guard, France: Luwawu made his big move last year playing in his native France, then built on that in 2015-16 against tougher competition with a varied offensive game of scoring and passing. His size would be an asset in the backcourt, with enough athleticism that he won't be a liability on defense against smaller, quicker shooting guards. With little experience before this season other than the lesser French leagues, not even as part of the national teams at a junior level, he has had to ease concerns about the jump in competition.
17. Memphis Grizzlies- Wade Baldwin IV, Point Guard, Vanderbilt: Mike Conley potentially bolting in free agency, the Grizzlies will probably be looking for a point guard at their pick. While we view him as a bit of a reach here, he would offer a solid upside player at a position of need.
18. Detroit Pistons- Denzel Valentine, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Michigan State: Valentine reportedly has a "fairly significant knee issue" that is causing concern with some teams, and, I'm told, it could cost him on draft night. At some point, somebody will be weigh the risk vs. the reward and snag the former Michigan State star. But, at this point, it's hard to pin things down -- although the Pistons pulling the trigger and adding a local player who can help immediately would hardly be surprising.
19. Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)- Ante Zizic, Center, Croatia: The Nuggets have three of the first 19 picks. So taking strong international prospects who can theoretically stay overseas is an obvious option, and Zizic checks those boxes. The 19 year old is a great rebounder with a terrific motor and good size. He could easily develop into a starting center in the NBA.
20. Indiana Pacers- Malachi Richardson, Shooting Guard, Syracuse: Richardson has a green room invite and could end up going higher. He's been very solid in workouts shooting the ball and could offer a replacement for Monta Ellis down the road.
21. Atlanta Hawks- Taurean Prince, Small Forward, Baylor: Prince is a 6-8 wing who has the athleticism and wingspan to guard his position, and even multiple positions, at the NBA level. I know some teams in the teens really like him -- most notably the Grizzlies. So there's no guarantee Prince will be available at 21. But, if he is, the Hawks would be wise to snatch him up.
22. Charlotte Hornets- Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Improved perimeter shooting is a big part of Charlotte’s recent success, but Nic Batum and Courtney Lee both upcoming free agents, they could look to replenish some of their perimeter depth with younger, cheaper options. Beasley shot 38.7% from three-point range as a freshman for Florida State.
23. Boston Celtics- Ivica Zubac, Center, Croatia: Again, the Celtics have three first-round picks. So draft-and-stash prospects will be possible targets at both 16 and 23. And Zubac is a terrific candidate for such given that he's only 19 years old and maybe willing to stay in Serbia for another year.
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami Heat via Cleveland Cavaliers)- DeAndre' Bembry, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Saint Joseph's: Bembry's ability to guard multiple positions at the NBA level should prove useful, and the way he sees the floor and passes could allow him to, at times, play the role of point-forward. All of this is stuff Philadelphia's front office should know well considering Bembry played college basketball down the street at St. Joe's.
25. Los Angeles Clippers- Brice Johnson, Power Forward, North Carolina: Johnson is a guy who probably ends up in the 20s and is a great value here. While he's a senior, he's one of the draft's premiere athletes, which would fit right into the Clippers' frontcourt. Unfortunately he has not had strong workout reports, showing a lack of maturity at times.
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City Thunder via Cleveland Cavaliers/Denver Nuggets)- Demeatrius Jackson, Point Guard, Notre Dame: Jackson could become more of a vocal leader, but for a team searching for an identity, adding a traditional point guard to go along with the 6-foot-10 one they're likely to grab at No. 1 would fill a pressing need for them.
27. Toronto Raptors- Thon Maker, Power Forward/Center, Australia: Toronto likes length and athleticism and with International GM Masai Ujiri, Thon has both the African and Canadian connection. Maker could end up going higher, but his lack of experience and readiness might limit his draft ceiling. If Thon can add good weight and his legs hold up, he could end up being a steal at the end of the first round.
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland Cavaliers via Boston Celtics)- Juan Hernangomez, Power Forward, Spain: This is Phoenix’s third pick in the first round, and I would expect them to take a player they can leave overseas for a bit longer. Hernangomez is a skilled power forward, with the ability to step away from the rim a bit, and he has played a good amount of minutes overseas already. He could be ready to come over in a year or two at the rate he is developing.
29. San Antonio Spurs- Cheick Diallo, Center, Kansas: Diallo measured and tested well at the combine -- then played well in the five-on-five games. He was active. He rebounded. He guarded. Simply put, the 6-9 forward genuinely helped himself by reminding scouts why he was once a projected lottery pick. And now it looks like that subpar season at Kansas won't cost Diallo too much money. He'd be a great fit with San Antonio, which needs an athletic big.
30. Golden State Warriors- Diamond Stone, Center, Maryland: Stone has not helped himself in interviews, I'm told. And there are background issues that concern some franchises. Still, he's just so much more talented than most other prospects in this range. And that's why the Warriors might be willing to take a swing late in the first and hope the talent develops, and the other concerns disappear, with time.
1. Philadelphia 76ers- Ben Simmons, Power Forward, LSU: With their hodge podge of big men and Simmons with star potential with his ball handling and passing, he’s an obvious choice even as some executives favor Ingram for his shooting. Simmons isn’t a good shooter. Reports say that Philly will indeed select Simmons tomorrow night number one overall.
2. Los Angeles Lakers- Brandon Ingram, Small Forward, Duke: The Lakers needed a little bit of luck, and got it here. Not only were they able to keep the selection (it was top-three protected) and end up with the No. 2 pick in a two-player draft, but they're also in line to grab a guy whose skills perfectly complement the other pieces they already have. LA is still a long way away from competing for titles, but Ingram and D'Angelo Russell are good pieces to build around.
3. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)- Kris Dunn, Point Guard, Providence: This projected pick is taking into consideration that there's a good chance that the pick gets moved. If not, Marquese Chriss or Dragan Bender are both upside picks that Boston could decide upon. Dunn would give them an additional point guard to platoon with Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart.
4. Phoenix Suns- Marquese Chriss, Power Forward, Washington: Like Boston, Phoenix also has multiple first-round picks, and may consider a deal here for the right player, but if not, getting a power forward who can stretch the floor could be a priority. Chriss is still somewhat raw skill-wise, and he doesn’t quite understand the game yet, but he is a high-level athlete who can run the floor, block shots, and knock down jumpers. He could turn into a good starter down the road.
5. Minnesota Timberwolves- Buddy Hield, Shooting Guard, Oklahoma: Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau accurately believes the Timberwolves are ready to break through and make the NBA Playoffs soon. So drafting someone who can contribute immediately makes sense, and Hield is undeniably ready to play as a rookie. The reigning CBS Sports National Player of the Year is probably the best shooter in this draft, meaning he'd be a great addition to a Minnesota team that ranked 25th in 3-point shooting this season while finishing 29-53.
6. New Orleans Pelicans- Jamal Murray, Point Guard/Shooting Guard, Kentucky: The Pelicans would probably prefer to see Dunn available here, but Murray is a very solid kid with a high floor. There is some optimism that he can develop into a point guard, which he played in high school. But his lack of speed, which makes the CJ McCollum comparisons far-fetched, likely limits him to being a shooting guard. He is a bit longer than some reports have stated as he measured at 8'4.5" in his first year and then a 8'2.5" standing reach in his second year at the Hoop Summit, which is probably more accurate than the 8'1" he measured at the Kentucky Combine.
7. Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)- Dragan Bender, Power Forward/Center, Croatia: The Nuggets seem to be Bender's backstop as there's speculation he could go 3 or 4, but more and more chatter has him falling to 7, where Denver, who has a heavy International focus would likely gobble
him up. Bender had a rough season, and needs time before he can begin to realize his talent.
8. Sacramento Kings- Jalen Brown, Small Forward, California: Brown is another player who could go anywhere from third to eighth, but almost certainly no lower than here. He's a top-shelf athlete. But he's the one guy in this range that everybody seems intrigued by but few love. Why didn't he close more strongly at Cal? Is he coachable or a young guy who thinks he already has all the answers? These are questions scouts are asking, I'm told. But, at some point in the top 10, somebody will take Brown simply because he's a big wing who can play the four in a small-ball lineup, and big wings who can play the four in small-ball lineups are more valuable than ever in the NBA.
9. Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)- Domontas Sabonis, Power Forward/Center, Gonzaga: Masai Ujiri is not afraid of taking players based on long-term potential (Hello, Bruno Caboclo!) but with a playoff-hardened team that also happens to have a yawning gap at power forward, drafting for need — the need being a relatively immediate solution to play the four alongside Jonas Valancuinas — I see the Raps using the No. 9 pick to take player who can make a contribution sooner than later. Domantas Sabonis has the motor and IQ that will make him a good fit in the Raptors’ emerging culture, and his promise as a perimeter threat provides hope of him fitting alongside Valanciunas. And the more Lithuanians, the better.
10. Milwaukee Bucks- Jakob Poeltl, Power Forward/Center, Utah: The Bucks would like to see Ellenson fall, which would allow them to draft a potential stretch-four who played college ball in Milwaukee. But if he's off the board, Poeltl is a good fit. He's a big who plays big -- proof being that 94 percent of his buckets this past season came around the rim. The 7-foot-1 center would help Milwaukee shore up an interior defense by adding a rim protector who is a better-than-most-realize athlete.
11. Orlando Magic- Skal Labissiere, Power Forward/Center, Kentucky: Despite Labissiere's disappointing freshman season at Kentucky, his two skill sets – shot blocking and perimeter shooting – would be a nice fit next to Nikola Vucevic, even if he might be a bit risky.
12. Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)- Henry Ellenson, Power Forward/Center, Marquette: With trading Jeff Teague away earlier today, the Hawks received this pick from the Jazz as the Pacers gave up George Hill to get Teague. Incase Atlanta loses Al Horford in free agency, I would take a chance with Ellenson, who has some upside.
13. Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)- Dejounte Murray, Guard, Washington: If the Suns are going for balance with their first two picks, they look for backcourt help. Even with roster strength at guard, they can develop a backup point guard and tap early into the immense potential of a long, explosive guard with hunger and confidence.
14. Chicago Bulls- Deyonta Davis, Power Forward, Michigan State: Davis didn't work out for any teams outside the top 10, so there's a chance he goes 9 or 10. But if he slides some the Bulls could see value in his upside and take him here.
15. Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)- Furkan Korkmaz, Shooting Guard, Turkey: Korkmaz is a terrific shooter with ideal size for his position, and the fact that he decided to remain in the NBA Draft suggests he has a promise somewhere in the top 20. For a team that needs depth everywhere and shooting -- the Nuggets tied for 25th in 3-point shooting this regular season -- Korkmaz is a smart option.
16. Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)- Timothe Luwawu, Shooting Guard, France: Luwawu made his big move last year playing in his native France, then built on that in 2015-16 against tougher competition with a varied offensive game of scoring and passing. His size would be an asset in the backcourt, with enough athleticism that he won't be a liability on defense against smaller, quicker shooting guards. With little experience before this season other than the lesser French leagues, not even as part of the national teams at a junior level, he has had to ease concerns about the jump in competition.
17. Memphis Grizzlies- Wade Baldwin IV, Point Guard, Vanderbilt: Mike Conley potentially bolting in free agency, the Grizzlies will probably be looking for a point guard at their pick. While we view him as a bit of a reach here, he would offer a solid upside player at a position of need.
18. Detroit Pistons- Denzel Valentine, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Michigan State: Valentine reportedly has a "fairly significant knee issue" that is causing concern with some teams, and, I'm told, it could cost him on draft night. At some point, somebody will be weigh the risk vs. the reward and snag the former Michigan State star. But, at this point, it's hard to pin things down -- although the Pistons pulling the trigger and adding a local player who can help immediately would hardly be surprising.
19. Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)- Ante Zizic, Center, Croatia: The Nuggets have three of the first 19 picks. So taking strong international prospects who can theoretically stay overseas is an obvious option, and Zizic checks those boxes. The 19 year old is a great rebounder with a terrific motor and good size. He could easily develop into a starting center in the NBA.
20. Indiana Pacers- Malachi Richardson, Shooting Guard, Syracuse: Richardson has a green room invite and could end up going higher. He's been very solid in workouts shooting the ball and could offer a replacement for Monta Ellis down the road.
21. Atlanta Hawks- Taurean Prince, Small Forward, Baylor: Prince is a 6-8 wing who has the athleticism and wingspan to guard his position, and even multiple positions, at the NBA level. I know some teams in the teens really like him -- most notably the Grizzlies. So there's no guarantee Prince will be available at 21. But, if he is, the Hawks would be wise to snatch him up.
22. Charlotte Hornets- Malik Beasley, Shooting Guard, Florida State: Improved perimeter shooting is a big part of Charlotte’s recent success, but Nic Batum and Courtney Lee both upcoming free agents, they could look to replenish some of their perimeter depth with younger, cheaper options. Beasley shot 38.7% from three-point range as a freshman for Florida State.
23. Boston Celtics- Ivica Zubac, Center, Croatia: Again, the Celtics have three first-round picks. So draft-and-stash prospects will be possible targets at both 16 and 23. And Zubac is a terrific candidate for such given that he's only 19 years old and maybe willing to stay in Serbia for another year.
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami Heat via Cleveland Cavaliers)- DeAndre' Bembry, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Saint Joseph's: Bembry's ability to guard multiple positions at the NBA level should prove useful, and the way he sees the floor and passes could allow him to, at times, play the role of point-forward. All of this is stuff Philadelphia's front office should know well considering Bembry played college basketball down the street at St. Joe's.
25. Los Angeles Clippers- Brice Johnson, Power Forward, North Carolina: Johnson is a guy who probably ends up in the 20s and is a great value here. While he's a senior, he's one of the draft's premiere athletes, which would fit right into the Clippers' frontcourt. Unfortunately he has not had strong workout reports, showing a lack of maturity at times.
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City Thunder via Cleveland Cavaliers/Denver Nuggets)- Demeatrius Jackson, Point Guard, Notre Dame: Jackson could become more of a vocal leader, but for a team searching for an identity, adding a traditional point guard to go along with the 6-foot-10 one they're likely to grab at No. 1 would fill a pressing need for them.
27. Toronto Raptors- Thon Maker, Power Forward/Center, Australia: Toronto likes length and athleticism and with International GM Masai Ujiri, Thon has both the African and Canadian connection. Maker could end up going higher, but his lack of experience and readiness might limit his draft ceiling. If Thon can add good weight and his legs hold up, he could end up being a steal at the end of the first round.
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland Cavaliers via Boston Celtics)- Juan Hernangomez, Power Forward, Spain: This is Phoenix’s third pick in the first round, and I would expect them to take a player they can leave overseas for a bit longer. Hernangomez is a skilled power forward, with the ability to step away from the rim a bit, and he has played a good amount of minutes overseas already. He could be ready to come over in a year or two at the rate he is developing.
29. San Antonio Spurs- Cheick Diallo, Center, Kansas: Diallo measured and tested well at the combine -- then played well in the five-on-five games. He was active. He rebounded. He guarded. Simply put, the 6-9 forward genuinely helped himself by reminding scouts why he was once a projected lottery pick. And now it looks like that subpar season at Kansas won't cost Diallo too much money. He'd be a great fit with San Antonio, which needs an athletic big.
30. Golden State Warriors- Diamond Stone, Center, Maryland: Stone has not helped himself in interviews, I'm told. And there are background issues that concern some franchises. Still, he's just so much more talented than most other prospects in this range. And that's why the Warriors might be willing to take a swing late in the first and hope the talent develops, and the other concerns disappear, with time.
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
2016 NHL Mock Draft: 2nd Edition
Here is my second edition of my 2016 NHL Mock Draft.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): The Coyotes desperately need another Oliver Ekman-Larsson on the back end to move the puck and start their transition game. This kid is a carbon copy of Ekman-Larsson, and the two of them would team up to give Arizona a tremendous power play point duo.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Many GMs see the young Russian as the best defenceman in the draft. Could easily be gone by the time Tim Murray picks.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): Nylander had 75 points in 57 games for Mississauga in the OHL last year and showed some of the flair of sill possessed by older brother William and dad Michael Nylander. He also starred for Sweden at the World Juniors and U18s, often looking superior offensively against many of his peers. The Habs have a lot of wings in their prospect pipeline already, but Nylander probably moves right up to the top among them based on his overall skill level.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Clayton Keller, Center U.S. National Development Team: Keller had a record-breaking year at USA Hockey's National Team Development Program in Michigan with 107 points. He also became the vaunted program's all-time leading scorer with 189 over his two years there, surpassing the likes of Phil Kessel and Patrick Kane to do it. A gifted playmaker, with tremendous on-ice vision, Keller should be a point-producing machine throughout his career.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Kieffer Bellows, Wing, U.S. National Development Team: After taking defensemen with their top picks in each of the last two years, the Hurricanes could be looking at a forward at No. 13. One of the best available is Bellows, who put up 50 goals playing alongside Clayton Keller last season at the National Team Development Program. The son of former NHL sniper Brian Bellows, Kieffer has some power elements in his game to go along with his devastating shot.
14. Boston Bruins- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): Hey, he’s already playing about 15 minutes away (at Boston University) from the Bruins’ home rink, so you know they’ve got a good read on him. Boston has a lot of age to replace on the blue line over the next two years, and this kid might be a Ryan Suter-style defenseman: efficient, effective, does everything well. Will play at a high level for many, many years.
15. Minnesota Wild- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): After going with forwards in each of their last two first rounds, the Wild can look to defense again. Also, considering that they run the risk of losing one of their better young defensemen in a potential expansion draft, nabbing a player of Bean's caliber at 15 will feel like a steal. Bean had 24 goals and 64 points for the Calgary Hitmen in the WHL last year as he showed some dynamic offensive abilities.
16. Detroit Red Wings- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): With Pavel Datsyuk returning to Russia, why not replace him with another fine two-way Russian center. He’s not another Datsyuk offensively, but he’s sturdy, aggressive, and intelligent.
17. Nashville Predators- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): He is 6-5 and has the kind of size/skill combination every team is searching for. The Preds have some top scorers with the big club, but could use a couple more in their pipeline.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Could he be another Ryan O’Reilly? He skates better at this age and has a little more size. Shutdown centers who can contribute offensively have real value.
19. New York Islanders- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): A fascinating forward with tremendous size (6-3, 225), Gauthier was dominant in the QMJHL this year. The power winger had 41 goals and 57 points in 54 games for Val-d'Or. He also was named to Canada's World Junior Championship roster as an underager. That's pretty significant. His lopsided goals-assists numbers are a little quirky, but he plays a style that still has a lot of value in today's NHL.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): Having nabbed a defenseman earlier in the draft, the Coyotes can go back to building their massive stable of high-end forwards. DeBrincat would fit right in, especially in a system that already includes his Erie Otters teammate Dylan Strome. Back-to-back 51-goal seasons have set aside many of the hesitations about his size.
21. Carolina Panthers (via Los Angeles Kings)- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Jones' projections are all over the map, but the Hurricanes should be pleased if he falls to 21st. A powerful skater, whose bursts of speed might catch you off guard due to his 6-foot-3, 205-pound frame, Jones had 52 points for the Memorial Cup champs last season. While he's prone to some poor decisions on the ice, usually involving penalties, he brings an element the Hurricanes may lack in their system presently.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Having taken a winger earlier in the draft, the Jets will be pleased if Kunin is still there at 22. He never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team. While Winnipeg surely could be looking for a defenseman here, Kunin's skill set and maturity make him a very attractive option.
23. Florida Panthers- Vitaly Abramov, Wing/Center, Gatineau (QMJHL): Yes, he’s on the small side, but he’s also feisty and fearless with dynamic skills and playmaking ability. When your leading scorer is 44 years old, maybe you want to spruce things up?
24. Anaheim Ducks- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
25. Dallas Stars- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
26. Washington Capitals- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): He’s 6-5, and he’s the son of a former NHL player and current coach. Has the size and hands, but still needs to grow into his body.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Speaking of liking Russian forwards, the Lightning would probably take Rubtsov or Abramov if either of them are available here. Instead, Tampa Bay takes Laberge, who was the first star of the CHL Top Prospects Game.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): When you see a 6-7 defenseman playing major junior, it’s not hard to convince yourself that he will someday blossom into a monstrous force at the NHL level. You just call him a project, work with him, and hope nature takes its course. Hey, it worked for them with Colton Parayko, didn’t it?
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Sam Steel, Center, Regina (WHL): Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci are both 30. Time to start thinking about depth down the middle.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Tyler Benson, Wing, Vancouver Giants (WHL): Physical winger oozes skill, but injuries could knock him out of first round.
1. Toronto Maple Leafs- Auston Matthews, Center, Zurich, Switzerland: Matthews has the look of the kind of franchise center a team can build around. Matthews was a dominant force in the Swiss league and was Team USA's best player at the World Championship at just 18 years old. He appears to be the total package, with good speed, strength, excellent hockey sense, a quick and accurate shot, high-end puck skills and improving defensive play. He could be an instant impact player for the Leafs.
2. Winnipeg Jets- Patrik Laine, Wing, Tappara, Finland: There's a good reason Laine has closed the gap on Matthews in the first overall debate. His MVP performance in the Finnish league playoffs during which he scored 10 goals in leading Tappara to the championship was nothing short of remarkable. A natural goal scorer with a big 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame, he has the potential to be one of the NHL's elite snipers.
3. Columbus Blue Jackets- Jesse Puljujarvi, Wing, Karpat, Finland: The Blue Jackets are reportedly entertaining the idea of trading this pick, but it appears more likely they'll keep it. Puljujarvi, who had 28 points in 50 games in the Finnish league this year, would be the best player available. Puljujarvi is a gifted all-around forward, whose skill has allowed him to be a top offensive contributor. Puljujarvi was the MVP of the World Junior Championship last year after putting up an absurd 17 points in seven games in leading Finland to gold.
4. Edmonton Oilers- Matthew Tkachuk, Wing, London (OHL): It’s definitely a reach for the Oilers to consider taking a defenseman at this point, and we think it’s more likely the Oilers package this pick with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Nail Yakupov to deal for a veteran blueliner. But if they stay put, it would be awfully hard to pass on a gritty winger who can ride shotgun to Connor McDavid for the next decade.
5. Vancouver Canucks- Pierre-Luc Dubois, Wing/Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL): Dubois is an intriguing talent out of the QMJHL where he had 99 points in 62 games for the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles. Another big-bodied forward who plays primarily on the wing, Dubois has some more power-forward elements in his game. He's also considered among the better two-way forwards in this group of the top five. He has the size, strength and snarl that should attract the Canucks even though they'd have to think long and hard about taking one of the top three defensemen in this position.
6. Calgary Flames- Logan Brown, Center, Windsor (OHL): He’s a 6-6 center, and the Flames want to be a big team that is difficult to play against. Can’t you see Brown playing for a Brian Burke team?
7. Arizona Coyotes- Olli Juolevi, Defenseman, London Knights (OHL): The Coyotes desperately need another Oliver Ekman-Larsson on the back end to move the puck and start their transition game. This kid is a carbon copy of Ekman-Larsson, and the two of them would team up to give Arizona a tremendous power play point duo.
8. Buffalo Sabres- Mikhail Sergachev, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): Many GMs see the young Russian as the best defenceman in the draft. Could easily be gone by the time Tim Murray picks.
9. Montreal Canadiens- Alexander Nylander, Wing, Mississauga (OHL): Nylander had 75 points in 57 games for Mississauga in the OHL last year and showed some of the flair of sill possessed by older brother William and dad Michael Nylander. He also starred for Sweden at the World Juniors and U18s, often looking superior offensively against many of his peers. The Habs have a lot of wings in their prospect pipeline already, but Nylander probably moves right up to the top among them based on his overall skill level.
10. Colorado Avalanche- Jakob Chychrun, Defenseman, Sarnia (OHL): Coming into the year, many believed Chychrun was Matthews' best competition for No. 1, but just because Chychrun slipped down the rankings doesn't mean he had a disappointing year. A solid two-way defenseman, the Avs would be loving it if he slipped to 10. Chychrun had 49 points in 62 games.
11. New Jersey Devils- Clayton Keller, Center U.S. National Development Team: Keller had a record-breaking year at USA Hockey's National Team Development Program in Michigan with 107 points. He also became the vaunted program's all-time leading scorer with 189 over his two years there, surpassing the likes of Phil Kessel and Patrick Kane to do it. A gifted playmaker, with tremendous on-ice vision, Keller should be a point-producing machine throughout his career.
12. Ottawa Senators- Tyson Jost, Center, Penticton (BCHL): Another player that very well could go higher than this, Jost was phenomenal this season. Set to play for the University of North Dakota next year, teams are going to be taken by his high-end offensive IQ with the puck skills to match. He had 42 goals in 48 games for Penticton, then dominated the World U18 Championship with 15 points in seven games for Canada.
13. Carolina Hurricanes- Kieffer Bellows, Wing, U.S. National Development Team: After taking defensemen with their top picks in each of the last two years, the Hurricanes could be looking at a forward at No. 13. One of the best available is Bellows, who put up 50 goals playing alongside Clayton Keller last season at the National Team Development Program. The son of former NHL sniper Brian Bellows, Kieffer has some power elements in his game to go along with his devastating shot.
14. Boston Bruins- Charlie McAvoy, Defenseman, Boston University (NCAA): Hey, he’s already playing about 15 minutes away (at Boston University) from the Bruins’ home rink, so you know they’ve got a good read on him. Boston has a lot of age to replace on the blue line over the next two years, and this kid might be a Ryan Suter-style defenseman: efficient, effective, does everything well. Will play at a high level for many, many years.
15. Minnesota Wild- Jake Bean, Defenseman, Calgary (WHL): After going with forwards in each of their last two first rounds, the Wild can look to defense again. Also, considering that they run the risk of losing one of their better young defensemen in a potential expansion draft, nabbing a player of Bean's caliber at 15 will feel like a steal. Bean had 24 goals and 64 points for the Calgary Hitmen in the WHL last year as he showed some dynamic offensive abilities.
16. Detroit Red Wings- German Rubstov, Center, RussiaU18 (MHL): With Pavel Datsyuk returning to Russia, why not replace him with another fine two-way Russian center. He’s not another Datsyuk offensively, but he’s sturdy, aggressive, and intelligent.
17. Nashville Predators- Riley Tufte, Wing, Fargo Force (USHL): He is 6-5 and has the kind of size/skill combination every team is searching for. The Preds have some top scorers with the big club, but could use a couple more in their pipeline.
18. Philadelphia Flyers- Michael McLeod, Center, Mississauga (OHL): Could he be another Ryan O’Reilly? He skates better at this age and has a little more size. Shutdown centers who can contribute offensively have real value.
19. New York Islanders- Julien Gauthier, Wing, Val-d’Or (QMJHL): A fascinating forward with tremendous size (6-3, 225), Gauthier was dominant in the QMJHL this year. The power winger had 41 goals and 57 points in 54 games for Val-d'Or. He also was named to Canada's World Junior Championship roster as an underager. That's pretty significant. His lopsided goals-assists numbers are a little quirky, but he plays a style that still has a lot of value in today's NHL.
20. Arizona Coyotes (via New York Rangers)- Alex DeBrincat, Center/Wing, Erie (OHL): Having nabbed a defenseman earlier in the draft, the Coyotes can go back to building their massive stable of high-end forwards. DeBrincat would fit right in, especially in a system that already includes his Erie Otters teammate Dylan Strome. Back-to-back 51-goal seasons have set aside many of the hesitations about his size.
21. Carolina Panthers (via Los Angeles Kings)- Max Jones, Wing, London (OHL): Jones' projections are all over the map, but the Hurricanes should be pleased if he falls to 21st. A powerful skater, whose bursts of speed might catch you off guard due to his 6-foot-3, 205-pound frame, Jones had 52 points for the Memorial Cup champs last season. While he's prone to some poor decisions on the ice, usually involving penalties, he brings an element the Hurricanes may lack in their system presently.
22. Winnipeg Jets (via Chicago Blackhawks)- Luke Kunin, Center, Wisconsin (NCAA): Having taken a winger earlier in the draft, the Jets will be pleased if Kunin is still there at 22. He never looked like a true freshman at Wisconsin last season. The 18-year-old finished with 32 points in 34 games and was the best player on a poor team. While Winnipeg surely could be looking for a defenseman here, Kunin's skill set and maturity make him a very attractive option.
23. Florida Panthers- Vitaly Abramov, Wing/Center, Gatineau (QMJHL): Yes, he’s on the small side, but he’s also feisty and fearless with dynamic skills and playmaking ability. When your leading scorer is 44 years old, maybe you want to spruce things up?
24. Anaheim Ducks- Dante Fabbro, Defenseman, Penticton (BCHL): Fabbro is a talented puck mover who will also be in the neighborhood bext year as he has committed to play at Boston University. He had 67 points in 45 games last season and starred for Canada at the World Under-18 championship.
25. Dallas Stars- Brett Howden, Center, Moose Jaw (WHL): There's a good chance Howden doesn't slip this low, especially after his outstanding performance at the World Under-18 Championship in the spring. He had five goals over six games at that tournament, which followed his junior season. With the WHL's Moose Jaw Warriors, Howden had 64 points in 68 games and put up 15 points in 10 postseason contests. Another center with a pro build, Howden should have the edge on the players remaining.
26. Washington Capitals- Tage Thompson, Center, Connecticut (NCAA): He’s 6-5, and he’s the son of a former NHL player and current coach. Has the size and hands, but still needs to grow into his body.
27. Tampa Bay Lightning- Pascal Laberge, Wing/Center, Victoriaville (QMJHL): Speaking of liking Russian forwards, the Lightning would probably take Rubtsov or Abramov if either of them are available here. Instead, Tampa Bay takes Laberge, who was the first star of the CHL Top Prospects Game.
28. Saint Louis Blues- Logan Stanley, Defenseman, Windsor (OHL): When you see a 6-7 defenseman playing major junior, it’s not hard to convince yourself that he will someday blossom into a monstrous force at the NHL level. You just call him a project, work with him, and hope nature takes its course. Hey, it worked for them with Colton Parayko, didn’t it?
29. Boston Bruins (via San Jose Sharks)- Sam Steel, Center, Regina (WHL): Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci are both 30. Time to start thinking about depth down the middle.
30. Anaheim Ducks (from Toronto Maple Leafs via Pittsburgh Penguins)- Tyler Benson, Wing, Vancouver Giants (WHL): Physical winger oozes skill, but injuries could knock him out of first round.
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